TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Vrtilka and Snir Morag in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Vrtilka' if Jakub Vrtilka advances against Snir Morag. This market will resolve to 'Snir Morag' if Snir Morag advances against Jakub Vrtilka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Vrtilka and Snir Morag in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Vrtilka' if Jakub Vrtilka advances against Snir Morag. This market will resolve to 'Snir Morag' if Snir Morag advances against Jakub Vrtilka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and it’s a dynamic indicator of the perceived likelihood of each player winning the match. The current top outcome is not available.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion match between Jakub Vrtilka and Snir Morag. The platform will rely on publicly available, authoritative sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match results to understand when the market will be finalized and payouts will be distributed.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring tennis news and social media for updates on the players involved is a good way to stay informed about potential catalysts that might move this market.