TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Filip and Yanis Peterhans in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Yanis Peterhans. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Peterhans' if Yanis Peterhans advances against Jakub Filip. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Filip and Yanis Peterhans in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Yanis Peterhans. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Peterhans' if Yanis Peterhans advances against Jakub Filip. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual bettors. If a significant number of people believe one player will win, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly, potentially creating discrepancies with sportsbook lines. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price variations between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Heraklion tennis match—whether Jakub Filip or Yanis Peterhans wins—will be used to determine the winning share on Polymarket. Resolution will depend on official tournament results and any subsequent rulings made by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accurate settlement of the market.
Several signals could move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probability of either player winning the Heraklion tennis match.