TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Filip and Vincent Dullinger in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Vincent Dullinger. This market will resolve to 'Vincent Dullinger' if Vincent Dullinger advances against Jakub Filip. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Filip and Vincent Dullinger in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Vincent Dullinger. This market will resolve to 'Vincent Dullinger' if Vincent Dullinger advances against Jakub Filip. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there is a significant difference between the probabilities implied by this market and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate that the crowd has identified information not fully incorporated into the sportsbook lines. It’s always wise to compare both to inform your own assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Heraklion tennis match. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price of those shares increases, indicating a growing belief in their chances of winning. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing creates a real-time forecast of the match’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Jakub Filip and Vincent Dullinger, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the winner and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to note that the official result is the sole determinant of resolution, ensuring a transparent and objective process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather forecasts affecting the match schedule or court surface could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament might influence perceptions of player momentum and overall confidence. Shifts in public opinion, reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also contribute to changes in the probabilities reflected in this market.