TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Filip and Pavlos Tsitsipas in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Jakub Filip. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Filip and Pavlos Tsitsipas in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Jakub Filip. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player’s chances, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate diverse perspectives into their predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a player, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that player winning. Conversely, if more people sell, the price decreases. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Jakub Filip and Pavlos Tsitsipas. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Any potential delays or disputes regarding the official result will be addressed according to the platform’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and accurate resolution.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match takes place. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about a player’s strategy or coaching changes might also impact the market. Furthermore, any significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.