TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 6:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Filip and Louis Tessa in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Louis Tessa. This market will resolve to 'Louis Tessa' if Louis Tessa advances against Jakub Filip. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Filip and Louis Tessa in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Louis Tessa. This market will resolve to 'Louis Tessa' if Louis Tessa advances against Jakub Filip. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual traders’ beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when there’s considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a unique assessment of probability.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares are bought and sold, adjusting the price based on supply and demand. The price of a share representing a particular outcome reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders believe Jakub Filip will win, for example, the price of shares representing his victory will increase. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect changing expectations regarding the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the Heraklion tennis match between Jakub Filip and Louis Tessa will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official tournament results and widely accepted sports news sources to verify the final score and declare the winning player. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updated player rankings could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also impact trading. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments in the Heraklion tennis match is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.