TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Filip and James McGloughlin in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against James McGloughlin. This market will resolve to 'James McGloughlin' if James McGloughlin advances against Jakub Filip. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Filip and James McGloughlin in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against James McGloughlin. This market will resolve to 'James McGloughlin' if James McGloughlin advances against Jakub Filip. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probabilities. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or as different groups of people interpret the same information in varying ways. This market represents the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes offer insights that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, potentially identifying mispriced opportunities.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Jakub Filip and James McGloughlin, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create momentum and drive price movements, so monitoring the volume and order flow is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.