TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Dermenjyan and James McGloughlin in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Dermenjyan' if Jack Dermenjyan advances against James McGloughlin. This market will resolve to 'James McGloughlin' if James McGloughlin advances against Jack Dermenjyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Dermenjyan and James McGloughlin in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Dermenjyan' if Jack Dermenjyan advances against James McGloughlin. This market will resolve to 'James McGloughlin' if James McGloughlin advances against Jack Dermenjyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic and evolving forecast for the Dermenjyan vs McGloughlin match. This allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Jack Dermenjyan and James McGloughlin. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result of the match, as determined by the official tournament organizers.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategy or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders can sometimes create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting a change in overall market perception of the Dermenjyan vs McGloughlin match's likely outcome.