TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ioannis Xilas and Luka Talan Lopatic in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ioannis Xilas' if Ioannis Xilas advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Ioannis Xilas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ioannis Xilas and Luka Talan Lopatic in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ioannis Xilas' if Ioannis Xilas advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Ioannis Xilas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the collective predictions of many individuals. It's common to see differences emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Comparing the two can reveal interesting insights into how different groups perceive the probability of various outcomes in the Xilas vs Lopatic match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ioannis Xilas versus Luka Talan Lopatic match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert opinions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also lead to adjustments in the market price. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves in the lead-up to the match.