TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 6:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ioannis Xilas and Jakub Filip in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ioannis Xilas' if Ioannis Xilas advances against Jakub Filip. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Ioannis Xilas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ioannis Xilas and Jakub Filip in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ioannis Xilas' if Ioannis Xilas advances against Jakub Filip. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Ioannis Xilas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals incentivized to make accurate predictions. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, especially when there's significant public interest. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful data point when evaluating the potential outcome of the Xilas vs Filip match, providing a contrasting perspective on the likely winner.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a specific result in the Xilas vs Filip match.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Ioannis Xilas versus Jakub Filip match, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift expectations. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in performance could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.