TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 6:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Car and Nikolai Marin in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Car' if Hugo Car advances against Nikolai Marin. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Marin' if Nikolai Marin advances against Hugo Car. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Car and Nikolai Marin in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Car' if Hugo Car advances against Nikolai Marin. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Marin' if Nikolai Marin advances against Hugo Car. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news, analysis, and any developments related to the match, dynamically adjusting probabilities until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Heraklion tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning player. The platform will then finalize the market, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, general tennis news, analysis from experts, and even social media discussions can all contribute to price movements as traders incorporate new information into their assessments of each player’s chances of winning the Heraklion tennis match.