TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 6:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Car and Adam Soukup in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Car' if Hugo Car advances against Adam Soukup. This market will resolve to 'Adam Soukup' if Adam Soukup advances against Hugo Car. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Car and Adam Soukup in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Car' if Hugo Car advances against Adam Soukup. This market will resolve to 'Adam Soukup' if Adam Soukup advances against Hugo Car. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public perception differs from expert opinion. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Hugo Car vs Adam Soukup match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more responsive the price will be to new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hugo Car vs Adam Soukup match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all traders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also impact the perceived chances of either player. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in sentiment and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market.