TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry Dornbusch and Danila Folkheims in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry Dornbusch' if Henry Dornbusch advances against Danila Folkheims. This market will resolve to 'Danila Folkheims' if Danila Folkheims advances against Henry Dornbusch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry Dornbusch and Danila Folkheims in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry Dornbusch' if Henry Dornbusch advances against Danila Folkheims. This market will resolve to 'Danila Folkheims' if Danila Folkheims advances against Henry Dornbusch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a share representing a specific outcome in the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Henry Dornbusch and Danila Folkheims will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against official tournament records and reporting to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Henry Dornbusch or Danila Folkheims, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions at the Heraklion tournament could also affect the perceived advantage of either player. Furthermore, unexpected results in other matches featuring these players leading up to the event could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also cause notable price swings in this market.