TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Giulio Perego and Tyler Stice in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Tyler Stice. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Stice' if Tyler Stice advances against Giulio Perego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giulio Perego and Tyler Stice in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Tyler Stice. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Stice' if Tyler Stice advances against Giulio Perego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and perceived biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks might be over or underestimating probabilities for the Heraklion tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match’s potential results. This creates a fluid environment where opinions are constantly being updated and reflected in the share prices for the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Giulio Perego versus Tyler Stice match in Heraklion. The platform will utilize widely available sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official tennis reporting channels for updates as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the payout of shares held in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis suggesting a change in either player’s form, could also drive price adjustments. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations regarding the Heraklion tennis match, prompting others to reassess their positions and potentially move the market.