TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giulio Perego and Peter Makk in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Peter Makk. This market will resolve to 'Peter Makk' if Peter Makk advances against Giulio Perego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giulio Perego and Peter Makk in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Peter Makk. This market will resolve to 'Peter Makk' if Peter Makk advances against Giulio Perego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks over time, especially when there's a lot of public information available and active trading.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Heraklion tennis match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price indicates the market's assessment of each player's chances of winning.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Giulio Perego and Peter Makk, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The final score will determine the winner, and that result will be used to settle the market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause the odds to move, reflecting a change in the collective prediction of the market participants.