TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 11:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giulio Perego and Melios Efstathiou in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Melios Efstathiou. This market will resolve to 'Melios Efstathiou' if Melios Efstathiou advances against Giulio Perego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giulio Perego and Melios Efstathiou in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Melios Efstathiou. This market will resolve to 'Melios Efstathiou' if Melios Efstathiou advances against Giulio Perego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as information and opinions evolve. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the crowd believes the value lies in the Heraklion tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a given player, the higher the price rises, indicating increasing confidence in their chances of winning the Heraklion tennis match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Heraklion tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning player in the match between Giulio Perego and Melios Efstathiou. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations, especially if they signal a change in overall market perception of the Heraklion tennis match.