TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgios Nouchakis and Yanis Peterhans in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Nouchakis' if Georgios Nouchakis advances against Yanis Peterhans. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Peterhans' if Yanis Peterhans advances against Georgios Nouchakis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgios Nouchakis and Yanis Peterhans in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Nouchakis' if Georgios Nouchakis advances against Yanis Peterhans. This market will resolve to 'Yanis Peterhans' if Yanis Peterhans advances against Georgios Nouchakis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by traders buying and selling contracts based on their individual beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers in their assessment of the Nouchakis-Peterhans match outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Nouchakis-Peterhans match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nouchakis-Peterhans match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct result will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could trigger movement. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy, or even weather forecasts impacting the match, could all lead to traders adjusting their positions. Major upsets in other related tennis matches might also affect confidence in either player, causing a change in the implied probabilities reflected in the market.