TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgios Dimitriou and Erik Gahnstrom in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Dimitriou' if Georgios Dimitriou advances against Erik Gahnstrom. This market will resolve to 'Erik Gahnstrom' if Erik Gahnstrom advances against Georgios Dimitriou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgios Dimitriou and Erik Gahnstrom in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Dimitriou' if Georgios Dimitriou advances against Erik Gahnstrom. This market will resolve to 'Erik Gahnstrom' if Erik Gahnstrom advances against Georgios Dimitriou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to reflect the true probabilities as assessed by traders. This market, like others, may show discrepancies with sportsbook odds due to differing information, biases, or levels of expertise among bettors and market participants. Analyzing these differences can sometimes reveal valuable insights into public perception versus informed predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding the Dimitriou vs Gahnstrom match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dimitriou vs Gahnstrom match as declared by the governing tennis authorities. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could all shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Dimitriou or Gahnstrom might also impact sentiment. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering predictions about the match could drive trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.