TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 7:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Finn Murgett and Jakub Filip in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Finn Murgett' if Finn Murgett advances against Jakub Filip. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Finn Murgett. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Finn Murgett and Jakub Filip in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Finn Murgett' if Finn Murgett advances against Jakub Filip. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against Finn Murgett. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with skin in the game. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s worth comparing the probabilities implied by both to identify potential value or discrepancies in assessing the likely winner of the Murgett vs Filip match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Murgett vs Filip match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Finn Murgett and Jakub Filip, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also sway traders' opinions. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of Finn Murgett or Jakub Filip’s chances of winning the match has the potential to move this market.