TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Finn Murgett and Amit Vales in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Finn Murgett' if Finn Murgett advances against Amit Vales. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Finn Murgett. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Finn Murgett and Amit Vales in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Finn Murgett' if Finn Murgett advances against Amit Vales. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Finn Murgett. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying levels of public interest. It’s common to find that prediction markets are more efficient at incorporating new information quickly, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbook offerings. This can create opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Finn Murgett and Amit Vales. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Public endorsements or analysis from respected tennis commentators could also impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely cause movement in this market.