TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabio Luis Guth and Georgios Dimitriou in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabio Luis Guth' if Fabio Luis Guth advances against Georgios Dimitriou. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Dimitriou' if Georgios Dimitriou advances against Fabio Luis Guth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabio Luis Guth and Georgios Dimitriou in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabio Luis Guth' if Fabio Luis Guth advances against Georgios Dimitriou. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Dimitriou' if Georgios Dimitriou advances against Fabio Luis Guth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Fabio Luis Guth and Georgios Dimitriou. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the tennis world, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could cause noticeable price movements, as could significant shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.