TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 10:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ewen Lumsden and Luka Talan Lopatic in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ewen Lumsden' if Ewen Lumsden advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Ewen Lumsden. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ewen Lumsden and Luka Talan Lopatic in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ewen Lumsden' if Ewen Lumsden advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Ewen Lumsden. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional bookmakers.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ewen Lumsden versus Luka Talan Lopatic match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tournament, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could cause short-term price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.