TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 1:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ewen Lumsden and Anuj Watane in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ewen Lumsden' if Ewen Lumsden advances against Anuj Watane. This market will resolve to 'Anuj Watane' if Anuj Watane advances against Ewen Lumsden. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ewen Lumsden and Anuj Watane in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ewen Lumsden' if Ewen Lumsden advances against Anuj Watane. This market will resolve to 'Anuj Watane' if Anuj Watane advances against Ewen Lumsden. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Lumsden vs Watane match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, making it a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lumsden vs Watane match as declared by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Ewen Lumsden or Anuj Watane, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to the event might also impact predictions. Furthermore, major upsets in similar tournaments or shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.