TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Edoardo Cherie Ligniere and Viktor Kirov in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edoardo Cherie Ligniere' if Edoardo Cherie Ligniere advances against Viktor Kirov. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Kirov' if Viktor Kirov advances against Edoardo Cherie Ligniere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Edoardo Cherie Ligniere and Viktor Kirov in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edoardo Cherie Ligniere' if Edoardo Cherie Ligniere advances against Viktor Kirov. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Kirov' if Viktor Kirov advances against Edoardo Cherie Ligniere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate belief of informed traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, particularly when a large number of participants contribute. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts, offering opportunities for arbitrage between the two. Examining these differences can provide valuable insight into the perceived probabilities of various outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately assess the probability of each outcome, leading to a dynamic and informative price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cherie Ligniere vs Kirov match, as determined by the governing body of the tournament. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. The precise timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or tactical adjustments announced by either Cherie Ligniere or Kirov could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the match.