TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dennis Perumov and Jonas Poswiat in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dennis Perumov' if Dennis Perumov advances against Jonas Poswiat. This market will resolve to 'Jonas Poswiat' if Jonas Poswiat advances against Dennis Perumov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dennis Perumov and Jonas Poswiat in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dennis Perumov' if Dennis Perumov advances against Jonas Poswiat. This market will resolve to 'Jonas Poswiat' if Jonas Poswiat advances against Dennis Perumov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The market's efficiency relies on active participation from informed traders who adjust their positions based on available information.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Dennis Perumov and Jonas Poswiat. The winner of the match, as determined by official tournament organizers, will dictate the settlement of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or even updates on player form and recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes could also impact the probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either player winning will likely cause movement in this market.