TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between David Yalanuzyan and Mateo Martinez in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Yalanuzyan' if David Yalanuzyan advances against Mateo Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Martinez' if Mateo Martinez advances against David Yalanuzyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between David Yalanuzyan and Mateo Martinez in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Yalanuzyan' if David Yalanuzyan advances against Mateo Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Martinez' if Mateo Martinez advances against David Yalanuzyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those found here, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Yalanuzyan vs Martinez match. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes, especially when there is a large volume of trading activity.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Yalanuzyan vs Martinez match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion match between David Yalanuzyan and Mateo Martinez. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from sports commentators could shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily impact the odds, creating opportunities for other traders to react and adjust their positions based on the latest information surrounding the Yalanuzyan vs Martinez match.