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M15 Heraklion: Daniel Rat vs Gryffin Minor
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Daniel Rat vs Gryffin Minor

Volume:
N/A

M15 Heraklion: Daniel Rat vs Gryffin Minor

 - Polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Daniel Rat vs Gryffin Minor - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 5:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Trade
Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Daniel Rat vs Gryffin Minor

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Daniel Rat vs Gryffin Minor Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Daniel Rat vs Gryffin Minor Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rat and Gryffin Minor in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rat' if Daniel Rat advances against Gryffin Minor. This market will resolve to 'Gryffin Minor' if Gryffin Minor advances against Daniel Rat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rat and Gryffin Minor in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rat' if Daniel Rat advances against Gryffin Minor. This market will resolve to 'Gryffin Minor' if Gryffin Minor advances against Daniel Rat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular player, they can buy 'yes' shares, driving up the probability on Polymarket. This dynamic can lead to odds that are more accurate or reflective of true probabilities than those found at sportsbooks.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand amongst traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or a central authority setting the odds.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Daniel Rat and Gryffin Minor. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout of 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in the losing player will receive nothing. This market's settlement is based on the real-world outcome of the tennis match.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also lead to reassessments of their capabilities. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed traders or large positions being taken could also cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 1, 2026.