TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cezar Cretu and Valentin Gonzalez-Galino in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cretu' if Cezar Cretu advances against Valentin Gonzalez-Galino. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Gonzalez-Galino' if Valentin Gonzalez-Galino advances against Cezar Cretu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cezar Cretu and Valentin Gonzalez-Galino in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cretu' if Cezar Cretu advances against Valentin Gonzalez-Galino. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Gonzalez-Galino' if Valentin Gonzalez-Galino advances against Cezar Cretu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both sources have their own biases and limitations, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and it’s a dynamic process that constantly adjusts as new information becomes available. This creates a real-time assessment of the event’s probability.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Cezar Cretu and Valentin Gonzalez-Galino. The platform will rely on widely accepted and publicly available sources to verify the winner of the match. The resolution process aims to be transparent and based on objective evidence, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as changes to the schedule or court surface, could also impact the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.