TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Pietri and Barney Fitzpatrick in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Pietri' if Benjamin Pietri advances against Barney Fitzpatrick. This market will resolve to 'Barney Fitzpatrick' if Barney Fitzpatrick advances against Benjamin Pietri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Pietri and Barney Fitzpatrick in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Pietri' if Benjamin Pietri advances against Barney Fitzpatrick. This market will resolve to 'Barney Fitzpatrick' if Barney Fitzpatrick advances against Benjamin Pietri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to a continuously updated price based on collective insight. If there's significant disagreement between the two, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has a more informed or active trading base. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, offering a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential result. The current price indicates the collective expectation for the Pietri vs Fitzpatrick match, and can change rapidly based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Benjamin Pietri and Barney Fitzpatrick. The platform will rely on established tennis data sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis from tennis experts predicting a change in momentum, could also drive price movements. Even general shifts in public sentiment or increased trading volume could impact the price of shares, reflecting the evolving expectations surrounding the Pietri vs Fitzpatrick match.