TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Gusic Wan and Patrick Jozwicki in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Gusic Wan' if Benjamin Gusic Wan advances against Patrick Jozwicki. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Jozwicki' if Patrick Jozwicki advances against Benjamin Gusic Wan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Gusic Wan and Patrick Jozwicki in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Gusic Wan' if Benjamin Gusic Wan advances against Patrick Jozwicki. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Jozwicki' if Patrick Jozwicki advances against Benjamin Gusic Wan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their own predictions. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the prediction market odds in a different direction. It’s common to observe discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Heraklion tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Heraklion tennis match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated view of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the market is constantly updating its assessment of the players’ chances, influenced by factors like recent performance, injury reports, and even public opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Benjamin Gusic Wan and Patrick Jozwicki. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could lead to price movements. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player could also impact confidence and trading volume. Furthermore, major media coverage or endorsements could sway public opinion and drive increased activity in this market, potentially altering the implied probabilities as the Oct 21, 2026 approaches.