TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka
polymarket

What is the result of Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka?

Volume:
N/A

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

 - Polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 3:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M15 Heraklion: Aurel Ciocanu vs Thomas Kostka Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Aurel Ciocanu and Thomas Kostka in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurel Ciocanu' if Aurel Ciocanu advances against Thomas Kostka. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka' if Thomas Kostka advances against Aurel Ciocanu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Aurel Ciocanu and Thomas Kostka in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurel Ciocanu' if Aurel Ciocanu advances against Thomas Kostka. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Kostka' if Thomas Kostka advances against Aurel Ciocanu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. Therefore, you may observe differences between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks. These discrepancies can arise from varying information sources, differing levels of expertise, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants. The current price reflects what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular result in the Ciocanu vs Kostka match.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ciocanu vs Kostka match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Aurel Ciocanu or Thomas Kostka, such as injuries or illness, could significantly impact the odds. Updates on their recent performance, training regimes, or tactical approaches could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, general news about the M15 Heraklion tournament, or even broader trends in professional tennis, could affect trading volume and price discovery on Polymarket. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also indirectly influence this market.