TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ammar Elamin and Patrick Jozwicki in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ammar Elamin' if Ammar Elamin advances against Patrick Jozwicki. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Jozwicki' if Patrick Jozwicki advances against Ammar Elamin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ammar Elamin and Patrick Jozwicki in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ammar Elamin' if Ammar Elamin advances against Patrick Jozwicki. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Jozwicki' if Patrick Jozwicki advances against Ammar Elamin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares in this market is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or a central authority setting the odds. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Elamin vs Jozwicki match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Ammar Elamin or Patrick Jozwicki, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could trigger price movements as traders react to perceived information or attempt to capitalize on opportunities. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is evolving.