TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amit Vales and Odysseas Geladaris in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Odysseas Geladaris. This market will resolve to 'Odysseas Geladaris' if Odysseas Geladaris advances against Amit Vales. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amit Vales and Odysseas Geladaris in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Odysseas Geladaris. This market will resolve to 'Odysseas Geladaris' if Odysseas Geladaris advances against Amit Vales. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market allows individuals to express their independent beliefs. However, initial odds on Polymarket may differ from those found at sportsbooks due to varying levels of information and participation. It's common to see convergence as the event draws nearer, with this market potentially offering a more refined probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Amit Vales and Odysseas Geladaris. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament news, could also shift sentiment. Additionally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in outlook, causing a rapid adjustment in the market price. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market's assessment of the Heraklion tennis match.