TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 1:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amit Vales and Nikita Belozertsev in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Nikita Belozertsev. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Belozertsev' if Nikita Belozertsev advances against Amit Vales. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amit Vales and Nikita Belozertsev in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Nikita Belozertsev. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Belozertsev' if Nikita Belozertsev advances against Amit Vales. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective insight of prediction market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to significant developments.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Amit Vales and Nikita Belozertsev. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed according to the platform’s guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 16, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Additionally, any late-breaking information about player form or strategy could lead to substantial movements in the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the perceived likelihood of each outcome.