TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amit Vales and Giulio Perego in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Giulio Perego. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Amit Vales. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amit Vales and Giulio Perego in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Giulio Perego. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Amit Vales. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed individuals. Frequently, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, as traders have a financial incentive to be correct. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison, and significant discrepancies may indicate opportunities for arbitrage or differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Amit Vales and Giulio Perego, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and events will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the resolution date.