TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amit Vales and Benjamin Gusic Wan in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Benjamin Gusic Wan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Gusic Wan' if Benjamin Gusic Wan advances against Amit Vales. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amit Vales and Benjamin Gusic Wan in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Benjamin Gusic Wan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Gusic Wan' if Benjamin Gusic Wan advances against Amit Vales. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own predictions, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in events where public perception strongly influences the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the perceived chance of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove accurate. The current market dynamics are driven by the collective actions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Amit Vales and Benjamin Gusic Wan, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. The final result will be publicly available and used to determine the payout for winning shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at the Heraklion tournament could also play a role, as certain players may perform better in specific conditions. Additionally, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate a shift in market sentiment, causing the odds to move. Public opinion and expert analysis leading up to the match could also impact trading behavior.