TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 7:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Aubriot and Miles Jones in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Aubriot' if Alexandre Aubriot advances against Miles Jones. This market will resolve to 'Miles Jones' if Miles Jones advances against Alexandre Aubriot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Aubriot and Miles Jones in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Aubriot' if Alexandre Aubriot advances against Miles Jones. This market will resolve to 'Miles Jones' if Miles Jones advances against Alexandre Aubriot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to express their view, and the odds adjust based on the collective wagers. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the prediction market odds will likely diverge. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when incorporating information not readily available to bookmakers.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Alexandre Aubriot and Miles Jones. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources for official confirmation of the match result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, reports of an injury to one of the players would likely impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the Heraklion venue could also play a role. Additionally, large volume trades on Polymarket from informed traders could indicate a shift in sentiment and cause the probabilities to adjust rapidly. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading activity will be key to understanding potential market movements.