TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 9:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Vasilev and Julio Cesar Porras in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Vasilev' if Alexander Vasilev advances against Julio Cesar Porras. This market will resolve to 'Julio Cesar Porras' if Julio Cesar Porras advances against Alexander Vasilev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Vasilev and Julio Cesar Porras in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Vasilev' if Alexander Vasilev advances against Julio Cesar Porras. This market will resolve to 'Julio Cesar Porras' if Julio Cesar Porras advances against Alexander Vasilev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks establish initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions in this market to capitalize on the discrepancy. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards what many believe is the ‘true’ probability as more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion match between Alexander Vasilev and Julio Cesar Porras. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the finalized result. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter strategies or pre-match interviews revealing confidence levels could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity from well-known or respected bettors could trigger further price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Vasilev vs Porras match is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.