TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Chang and Karl Friberg in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Chang' if Alexander Chang advances against Karl Friberg. This market will resolve to 'Karl Friberg' if Karl Friberg advances against Alexander Chang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Chang and Karl Friberg in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Chang' if Alexander Chang advances against Karl Friberg. This market will resolve to 'Karl Friberg' if Karl Friberg advances against Alexander Chang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, making it a dynamic reflection of collective intelligence. The current volume suggests considerable interest in this match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Heraklion tennis match between Alexander Chang and Karl Friberg. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which player emerged victorious. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or physical condition would also be influential. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and move the market, especially if they signal informed opinions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match’s conclusion.