TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Jones and Stephanos Schinas in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Jones' if Alex Jones advances against Stephanos Schinas. This market will resolve to 'Stephanos Schinas' if Stephanos Schinas advances against Alex Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Jones and Stephanos Schinas in the M15 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Jones' if Alex Jones advances against Stephanos Schinas. This market will resolve to 'Stephanos Schinas' if Stephanos Schinas advances against Alex Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s odds are determined by supply and demand among individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The total volume traded provides insight into the level of interest and conviction surrounding each potential result in the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Alex Jones and Stephanos Schinas, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available data. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the Nov 1, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Heraklion event might also shift expectations. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential market participants could cause noticeable price swings. Monitoring tennis news, player updates, and the trading activity on Polymarket will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s outlook.