TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Osminkin and Amir Omarkhanov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Osminkin' if Vladimir Osminkin advances against Amir Omarkhanov. This market will resolve to 'Amir Omarkhanov' if Amir Omarkhanov advances against Vladimir Osminkin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Osminkin and Amir Omarkhanov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vladimir Osminkin' if Vladimir Osminkin advances against Amir Omarkhanov. This market will resolve to 'Amir Omarkhanov' if Amir Omarkhanov advances against Vladimir Osminkin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on the collective insights of traders. If sportsbook odds initially favor one fighter, this market might show a different probability distribution if traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the fight. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in each fighter's chances. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana fight between Vladimir Osminkin and Amir Omarkhanov. The platform will look to established fight records and official announcements to determine the winner. Any disputes or ambiguities will be assessed based on widely accepted boxing rules and regulations. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class adjustments or rule changes could also have a significant impact. Publicly available analysis from boxing experts and any shifts in betting lines at traditional sportsbooks might also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning is likely to move this market.