TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 7:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Petrov and David Eichenseher in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Petrov' if Sergey Petrov advances against David Eichenseher. This market will resolve to 'David Eichenseher' if David Eichenseher advances against Sergey Petrov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Petrov and David Eichenseher in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Petrov' if Sergey Petrov advances against David Eichenseher. This market will resolve to 'David Eichenseher' if David Eichenseher advances against Sergey Petrov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals willing to put their capital at risk. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or forecasts, as traders have a financial incentive to be correct. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk appetites.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result of the M15 Fergana tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player will determine the outcome of this market. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available information to verify the result and ensure a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even significant shifts in public perception could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even social media commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market.