TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Saveliy Ivanov and Edoardo Cherie Ligniere in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saveliy Ivanov' if Saveliy Ivanov advances against Edoardo Cherie Ligniere. This market will resolve to 'Edoardo Cherie Ligniere' if Edoardo Cherie Ligniere advances against Saveliy Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Saveliy Ivanov and Edoardo Cherie Ligniere in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saveliy Ivanov' if Saveliy Ivanov advances against Edoardo Cherie Ligniere. This market will resolve to 'Edoardo Cherie Ligniere' if Edoardo Cherie Ligniere advances against Saveliy Ivanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a “vig” or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and may more accurately reflect the true likelihood of an event. However, external factors like public perception and media coverage can influence both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, sometimes leading to convergence. It's important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana match between Saveliy Ivanov and Edoardo Cherie Ligniere. The platform will verify the outcome against sources such as official tournament websites and widely recognized sports news outlets. The final result will determine which shares pay out, and the value of those shares will be determined at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026.