TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Kharlamov and Sergey Petrov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Kharlamov' if Roman Kharlamov advances against Sergey Petrov. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Petrov' if Sergey Petrov advances against Roman Kharlamov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Kharlamov and Sergey Petrov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Kharlamov' if Roman Kharlamov advances against Sergey Petrov. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Petrov' if Sergey Petrov advances against Roman Kharlamov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each fighter winning. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the fighters' chances. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana fight between Roman Kharlamov and Sergey Petrov, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The winning fighter will determine the outcome of this market, and the platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several signals could significantly move this market before the fight on Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updated analysis from MMA experts could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule modifications could also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders, or even large volume purchases, can quickly shift the price of shares, reflecting a change in perceived probability. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on market movements.