TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Alam and Kirill Filaretov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Alam' if Peter Alam advances against Kirill Filaretov. This market will resolve to 'Kirill Filaretov' if Kirill Filaretov advances against Peter Alam. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Alam and Kirill Filaretov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Alam' if Peter Alam advances against Kirill Filaretov. This market will resolve to 'Kirill Filaretov' if Kirill Filaretov advances against Peter Alam. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of those shares adjusts, reflecting the collective assessment of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share, for example, indicates the probability that Peter Alam will win the match. The higher the price, the greater the perceived chance of that outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available to traders.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana match between Peter Alam and Kirill Filaretov. Any disputes regarding the official result will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Nov 3, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could all cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected announcements about either player’s form or strategy could also lead to significant price movements. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also indirectly affect the market, as they could influence overall confidence in player performance. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.