TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Shin and Calvin Mueller in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Shin' if Maxim Shin advances against Calvin Mueller. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Maxim Shin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Shin and Calvin Mueller in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Shin' if Maxim Shin advances against Calvin Mueller. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Maxim Shin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maxim Shin vs Calvin Mueller match. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to and following the event to stay informed about the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, broader trends in the players' overall performance or public sentiment surrounding the match could contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders seeking to capitalize on opportunities before Nov 5, 2026.