TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Shin and Adrian Arcon in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Shin' if Maxim Shin advances against Adrian Arcon. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Arcon' if Adrian Arcon advances against Maxim Shin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Shin and Adrian Arcon in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Shin' if Maxim Shin advances against Adrian Arcon. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Arcon' if Adrian Arcon advances against Maxim Shin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual bettors. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the prediction market may show a different probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered on either side, as information asymmetry can lead to differing valuations.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana tennis match. This means determining which player won the match according to official tournament records. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts, might also impact trading activity. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match could also lead to increased confidence and a corresponding shift in the market price.