TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 6:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Grigory Shebekin and Akhmadjon Toshmukhamedov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Grigory Shebekin' if Grigory Shebekin advances against Akhmadjon Toshmukhamedov. This market will resolve to 'Akhmadjon Toshmukhamedov' if Akhmadjon Toshmukhamedov advances against Grigory Shebekin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Grigory Shebekin and Akhmadjon Toshmukhamedov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Grigory Shebekin' if Grigory Shebekin advances against Akhmadjon Toshmukhamedov. This market will resolve to 'Akhmadjon Toshmukhamedov' if Akhmadjon Toshmukhamedov advances against Grigory Shebekin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s prices are determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully accounted for by sportsbooks, or react more quickly to breaking news. It’s common to see differences in probabilities assigned to various outcomes, providing a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. This allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each competitor winning the match, based on the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana match between Grigory Shebekin and Akhmadjon Toshmukhamedov. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected developments in their respective forms could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about match conditions, such as weather forecasts or court surface changes, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader betting trends could cause noticeable price movements in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.