TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fedor Altukhov and Ilya Ignatov in the M15 Fergana, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fedor Altukhov' if Fedor Altukhov advances against Ilya Ignatov. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ignatov' if Ilya Ignatov advances against Fedor Altukhov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fedor Altukhov and Ilya Ignatov in the M15 Fergana, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fedor Altukhov' if Fedor Altukhov advances against Ilya Ignatov. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ignatov' if Ilya Ignatov advances against Fedor Altukhov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome, making it a straightforward way to understand market sentiment. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana match between Fedor Altukhov and Ilya Ignatov, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Fedor Altukhov or Ilya Ignatov, such as an injury announcement, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in their recent performance, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions at the match location could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or team strategies could further shift the odds, as traders react to new information and reassess the probabilities of different outcomes.