TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 7:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Edoardo Cherie Ligniere and Jan Hrazdil in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edoardo Cherie Ligniere' if Edoardo Cherie Ligniere advances against Jan Hrazdil. This market will resolve to 'Jan Hrazdil' if Jan Hrazdil advances against Edoardo Cherie Ligniere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Edoardo Cherie Ligniere and Jan Hrazdil in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edoardo Cherie Ligniere' if Edoardo Cherie Ligniere advances against Jan Hrazdil. This market will resolve to 'Jan Hrazdil' if Jan Hrazdil advances against Edoardo Cherie Ligniere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically establish initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance their risk. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, leading to odds that may diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on player form, injury concerns, or even subtle strategic advantages.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Cherie Ligniere vs Hrazdil match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each potential result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match date, the more the price will reflect the perceived likelihood of each player winning, influenced by any new information or developments. Trading volume and order book depth also impact price discovery.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Cherie Ligniere vs Hrazdil match as declared by the official tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be evaluated based on publicly available information and established tournament rules.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or even weather forecasts could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Cherie Ligniere or Hrazdil could also impact the perceived probability of their success. Any announcements related to player strategy or coaching changes might also lead to increased trading activity and price adjustments in this market.