TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dmitrii Burtsev and Dmitry Bessonov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dmitrii Burtsev' if Dmitrii Burtsev advances against Dmitry Bessonov. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Bessonov' if Dmitry Bessonov advances against Dmitrii Burtsev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dmitrii Burtsev and Dmitry Bessonov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dmitrii Burtsev' if Dmitrii Burtsev advances against Dmitry Bessonov. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Bessonov' if Dmitry Bessonov advances against Dmitrii Burtsev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by actual trading activity and the aggregated beliefs of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sets, biases, or simply variations in how risk is assessed. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Burtsev vs Bessonov match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more confident the market is in that outcome. Traders can adjust their positions as new information becomes available, influencing the overall price and reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Fergana match between Dmitrii Burtsev and Dmitry Bessonov. The platform will then verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The process is designed to be transparent and objective.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their training regimens could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or referee assignments might also play a role. Furthermore, broader trends in the players’ recent performance or analysis from sports commentators could impact the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likelihood of either player winning will likely cause the market to react and adjust accordingly.